The End of the Asian Century: War, Stagnation, and the Risks to the World's Most Dynamic Region

Author(s): Michael R. Auslin

Current Affairs

The twenty-first century may not be the "Asian Century" after all. As China's stock market crashes and its economy falters, as navies confront each other in the South China Sea, and as North Korea's nuclear program casts its shadow, the world is waking up to the risks that threaten Asia's future. International relations scholar and frequent media commentator Michael Auslin has long argued that far from being a cohesive powerhouse, Asia is a fractured region at risk of decline and instability. Here, he provides a comprehensive account of the economic, military, political, and demographic dangers that bedevil the region and argues that the United States is the only outside power that can help avert catastrophe. Bringing together firsthand observations and decades of research, Auslin's "risk map" will be a must-read for investors, politicians, scholars, and manufacturers for years to come.

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"Auslin argues powerfully for a dose of reality when assessing the current situation in Asia and its future problems and prospects."-George P. Shultz, author of Turmoil and Triumph: My Years as Secretary of State -- Shultz "Michael Auslin combines an historian's perspective with the art of diagnosis to map Asia's possible futures. The surprising result is anticipatory, cautionary, and contrarian. Written with verve and a readable style, The End of the Asian Century urges us to weigh the wide-ranging implications of these risks for America and the rest of the world.-Robert B. Zoellick, former President of the World Bank, US Trade Representative, and US Deputy Secretary of State -- Zoellick "For years, many Americans have seen a rising Asia as a region of opportunity. But Asia scholar Michael Auslin has come to see it as a region of risks-military, economic, demographic. In The End of the Asian Century, he provides a 'risk map' of a region of great promise and great problems."-Michael Barone, resident fellow at the American Enterprise Institute and Washington Examiner senior political analyst -- Michael Barone "Michael Auslin has built a reputation as an astute and forward-looking observer. In his new book, Auslin paints a vivid picture of a region waiting to see the full extent of Beijing's ambitions while wondering how the United States will ultimately respond. Those wishing to understand the scale of the challenge posed by China's destabilizing behavior would be well-served by this timely book."-Congressman J. Randy Forbes (R-Va), Chairman of the House Armed Services Subcommittee on Seapower Projection Forces and Co-Chairman of the Congressional China Caucus -- J. Randy Forbes "The End of the Asian Century is the essential user's guide to the gathering risks in the dynamic Indo-Pacific crescent. Not since Robert D. Kaplan's The Coming Anarchy and Samuel Huntington's Clash of Civilizations has a study so originally and presciently captured the risks to the emerging international order."-James Kraska, Howard S. Levie Professor of International Law, U.S. Naval War College -- James Kraska "Michael Auslin has written a thought-provoking, contrarian, and insightful book on the world's most dynamic region. It should make all of us think again soberly about Asia's future."-Minxin Pei, Claremont McKenna College, author of China's Trapped Transition -- Minxin Pei "The End of the Asian Century is the most complete and realistic book on the subject I have read in a long time. It demonstrates in bold and specific terms how we must not take Asian stability for granted and how Asia may have unpleasant surprises for us in the years ahead."-Robert D. Kaplan, author of Monsoon and Asia's Cauldron, senior fellow at the Center for a New American Security -- Robert D. Kaplan "I and many of my colleagues worry more about Chinese weakness than we do Chinese strength; we fret more over Asian failure than we do Asian competitive success. Michael Auslin's thoughtful new book explains why. It's a must read for anyone who wants to go beyond today's oversimplified sloganeering."-General (Ret.) Michael V. Hayden, former Director of the Central Intelligence Agency and National Security Agency -- Michael V. Hayden "Do miracles have an expiration date? In The End of the Asian Century, Michael Auslin offers a much-needed corrective to the perma-bulls who wave away concerns about whether the planet's most important economic region can continue to be a dynamic one. Balanced, penetrating analysis."-James Pethokoukis, MSNBC contributor and economic analyst -- James Pethokoukis "Many think of a Rising Asia - economically vibrant and politically stable - as the future of the international system. Michael Auslin's brilliant new book highlights the demographic, economic, political and diplomatic factors that make this brave new world far less likely. It is essential reading for all who want to understand the future of global order."-Eric Edelman, former Under Secretary of Defense for Policy -- Eric Edelman

Award-winning author Michael Auslin is a resident scholar at the American Enterprise Institute for Public Policy Research in Washington, DC. A former history professor at Yale, he is a regular contributor to the Wall Street Journal and a global media commentator.

General Fields

  • : 9780300212228
  • : Yale University Press
  • : Yale University Press
  • : 0.59
  • : 01 January 2017
  • : 235mm X 156mm
  • : United States
  • : 01 January 2017
  • : books

Special Fields

  • : Michael R. Auslin
  • : Hardback
  • : 950.43
  • : 256
  • : 15 b/w illus.